Ndxmom Hyb Crisisexit Roc12
Ndxmom Hyb Crisisexit Roc12 - a setupalpha_ndx_momentum concept routed into the paid catalog by lifetime ROR (non-HoF, ROR 10-25%). Lifetime ROR 19.7%, Sharpe 0.79, MaxDD -45.1% across the backtest window. Plain-text source code included.
Results are hypothetical and based on a historical backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results. See risk disclosure for full details.
The backtest, in full.
Year-by-year, month-by-month.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | MaxDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 0.0 | 43.7 | -2.0 | -7.3 | -7.2 | 4.8 | 13.5 | 26.7 | -1.1 | -8.1 | -27.9 | 0.9 | 3.0% | -45.4% |
| 2001 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.9 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 4.4 | -2.4 | 8.3 | 0.9 | -3.2 | 37.9% | -10.0% |
| 2004 | 6.1 | -4.5 | -1.3 | -4.2 | 5.6 | 5.1 | -10.0 | -1.0 | 7.2 | 9.8 | 7.8 | -2.3 | 23.2% | -19.4% |
| 2005 | -6.6 | 5.2 | 2.4 | -7.2 | 9.2 | -3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 20.0% | -9.6% |
| 2006 | 7.7 | -5.3 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -9.9 | -2.3 | -4.2 | -0.2 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.5% | -20.9% |
| 2007 | -1.1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 6.1 | -0.7 | 4.5 | 12.1 | 12.2 | -4.3 | -1.5 | 41.2% | -15.7% |
| 2008 | -14.5 | 3.3 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 8.4 | -7.8 | -5.4 | -3.7 | -16.9 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -34.6% | -35.7% |
| 2009 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -5.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 5.2 | -0.5 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 15.9% | -8.4% |
| 2010 | -11.1 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.4 | -11.1 | -4.3 | 9.6 | -4.0 | 14.4 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 29.6% | -16.8% |
| 2011 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 1.5 | 5.2 | -2.3 | -15.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0% | -24.2% |
| 2012 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 2.9 | -6.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 0.9 | -6.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 16.4% | -12.2% |
| 2013 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 3.9 | -1.2 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 12.0 | -1.5 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 55.8% | -6.9% |
| 2014 | 6.8 | 14.0 | -10.4 | -1.9 | 6.0 | 8.6 | -5.3 | 8.8 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 32.1% | -17.6% |
| 2015 | -3.0 | 3.2 | -3.5 | -1.4 | 5.2 | -1.3 | 4.5 | -5.2 | -4.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 6.0% | -13.6% |
| 2016 | -13.8 | -2.4 | 2.6 | -1.1 | 8.4 | -1.5 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 6.0 | -0.4 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 22.8% | -16.3% |
| 2017 | 5.6 | -0.8 | 4.3 | -1.1 | 12.3 | -3.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 9.8 | -3.8 | -4.1 | 39.0% | -14.9% |
| 2018 | 18.5 | -0.5 | -2.4 | -2.7 | 11.2 | -3.3 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | -11.1 | 2.0 | -3.0 | 15.4% | -15.6% |
| 2019 | -0.7 | 5.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | -0.5 | 5.0 | 0.6 | -2.2 | -5.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 20.5% | -13.7% |
| 2020 | 2.6 | -7.2 | -9.7 | 8.8 | 11.6 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 19.8 | 0.9 | -7.3 | 22.7 | 2.3 | 101.9% | -28.8% |
| 2021 | 12.3 | -5.6 | -8.7 | 6.2 | -2.3 | 9.6 | 12.6 | 5.1 | -4.9 | 4.6 | 0.3 | -5.2 | 18.4% | -25.4% |
| 2022 | -15.1 | 10.0 | 0.6 | -15.4 | -2.5 | -1.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -28.6% | -29.2% |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 4.3 | -7.1 | -4.2 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 19.2% | -14.0% |
| 2024 | 7.8 | 11.6 | 3.5 | -6.8 | 11.9 | 5.2 | -10.7 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 2.9 | -1.4 | 1.6 | 43.2% | -24.8% |
| 2025 | 2.2 | -7.9 | -5.7 | 9.0 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 14.0 | 3.8 | -5.8 | 4.2 | 31.1% | -28.2% |
| 2026 | 7.8 | -5.3 | -5.6 | 29.9 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.3% | -16.4% |
| Mean Yr | 0.9 | 2.7 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 22.1% | -17.9% |
Year rows: Total = compound of the row's monthly returns. Mean Yr row: per-month cells are column means; Total is the arithmetic mean of annual totals (not compound-of-cells, so the two won't agree โ this is by design).
| Metric | Strategy | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| ROR (CAGR) | 19.70% | 8.28% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 | 0.45 |
| MAR Ratio | 0.44 | โ |
| Max Drawdown | -45.1% | -55.2% |
| Trades | 625 | 1 |
| Avg Exposure | 4.4% | 100% |
What this strategy does
Ndxmom Hyb Crisisexit Roc12 is a setupalpha_ndx_momentum concept that emerged from our research pipeline and was routed into the storefront by its lifetime ROR (10-25%, paid tier; non-HoF). It trades the Nasdaq-100 with point-in-time membership data, so the published numbers are survivorship-bias-free.
Why this tier
Advanced sits above the 17% lifetime-ROR floor but at or below the 23% Premier line. Lifetime ROR 19.7%, Sharpe 0.79, MAR 0.44, MaxDD -45.1% across approximately 26 years (per-concept window pending).
What you get
Three files: the plain-text RealTest .rts source, a README with install steps and the Norgate data requirements, and your single-user license. The .rts is fingerprinted at delivery so the file is traceable to your purchase - no DRM, no subscription, no recurring fees.
- ndxmom_hyb_crisisexit_roc12.rtsRealTest strategy file (plain-text source)
- README.txtStrategy summary, install steps, Norgate data requirements, support contact
- LICENSE.txtSingle-user license, watermarked at delivery with your purchase fingerprint
Full plaintext .rts source delivered after purchase.
- Style
- Quantitative
- Universe
- Nasdaq-100 Current & Past Members
- Timeframe
- Daily
- Side
- Long
- Entry
- Mixed (see .rts)
- Exit
- Mixed (see .rts)
- Commission
- $0.005 / Share (IBKR Pro tier)
- Slippage
- $0.01 / Share
- Limit Buffer
- 0.05% past limit
- Risk-Free Rate
- Per-strategy (see .rts)
SPY Buy & Hold benchmark does not include transaction fees, slippage, or management costs. Strategy figures include both.
Backtests use daily-resolution OHLC data (Norgate does not provide intraday). Stops and limits are checked against the day's High/Low; same-day stop-and-target collisions are resolved pessimistically. See Risk Disclosure ยงย 11 for full detail.
- Data source
- Norgate Data Platinum - point-in-time Nasdaq-100 membership
- Backtest period
- 2000-01-03 to 2026-05-23
- Initial capital
- $100,000.00 USD
- Position sizing
- Per-strategy sizing documented in the .rts. Equal-weight default unless overridden.
- Compounding
- Compounded
- Survivorship bias
- None - Norgate's point-in-time membership and delisted symbols are both included in the backtest universe.
- Look-ahead bias
- None - signals computed at prior-day close. Entries fire at next-day open or as a same-day limit.
- Benchmark
- S&P 500 ETF (SPY) buy & hold
- Delivery
- RealTest v3.x .rts file + research include
| Item | Cost |
|---|---|
Ndxmom Hyb Crisisexit Roc12 strategy What you're buying here | $199.00 USD one-time |
RealTest license Perpetual use of current version + 12 months of updates. Optional $159.00 USD/yr extension after that. mhptrading.com/purchase.html | $389.00 USD (one-time) |
Norgate Data US Stocks Platinum Required tier for point-in-time NDX membership back to 1990. No monthly plan. norgatedata.com/stockmarketpackages.php | $346.50 USD / 6 mo or $630.00 USD / 12 mo |
Broker commissions Modeled in backtest at IBKR Pro Fixed | ~$0.005 USD / share |
OrderClerk Only needed if you automate execution. No separate license cost. | Bundled with RealTest |
- 01Download the .zipClick your download link in the receipt email
- 02Open ndxmom_hyb_crisisexit_roc12.rts in RealTestFile -> Open
- 03Import symbolsClick Import (one-time, ~30 seconds with Norgate)
- 04Run the backtestClick Test - your numbers match the published numbers
Norgate Data US Stocks Platinum is required for the full backtest
Reproducing the published numbers needs survivorship-bias-free Nasdaq-100 history with point-in-time index membership and delisted securities. That is only available on Norgate's US Stocks Platinum subscription ($346.50 / 6 months or $630 / 12 months USD; no monthly plan). The free Norgate trial covers only a recent window - enough to confirm the strategy installs and runs, not enough to match the published equity curve.
RealTest is Windows-only
Mac or Linux users will need a Windows VM or dual-boot. RealTest does not run natively on macOS or Linux.
Drawdowns happen. The published MaxDD is real.
Maximum historical drawdown of -45.1% is from the backtest. Live trading drawdowns may exceed it. Size accordingly.
Common questions.
How do you decide what to sell?+
Why is the seller not trading this themselves?+
What is in the .zip?+
How can I reach support?+
Ndxmom Hyb Crisisexit Roc12 -- $199.00 USD
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